Lebanon: The aftermath of chaos & the foremath of a solution
Hezbollah condemned the killing of Antoine Ghanem.
Nabih Berri, speaker of parliament, is set to meet Maronite Cardinal Nasrallah Sfeir this Friday.
With the narrow days ahead, the Lebanese Inner Circle doubts very much there will be elections to replace Antoine Ghanem before the presidential ‘debate’. So the current situation is laid out as the following;
An Opposition’s view would be that “every time the March 14 ‘movement’ has a critical time to act in response to a March 8 reconciliation, an attempt on a March 14 MP is targeted”. I would have to agree with that view, theoretically, every instance except for martyred Rafik Hariri, this has been the case, unfortunately. Here, one would ask, how would the Opposition benefit from such an attempt?
One answer would be…
A pro-governments view, which is well articulated on the mass media, is that the ‘Majority’ currently has only 68 members out of 128. If the Patriarch’s demand, and so of the Opposition is to have a two third quorum ‘present’ on electing a president is fulfilled, it has become harder today, after the assassination of MP Antoine Ghanem. And so, the question would be asked, should the Maronite Patriarchs’ demand be overlooked in this case?
Update: The inner circle has learned that the March 14 movement would consent to an agreed president with the opposition, except for MP Walid Jumblat.
Update 2: The official position of the March 14 and the Free Patriotic Movement has come down to a common denominator. They have both officially pointed the finger at Syria as the ‘primary suspect’. This was released by Alain Aoun from the Free Patriotic movement. However, the debate over the presidency is still pending.
Filed under: Analysis, Middle East, Presidential elections | 4 Comments